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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeJournal Article
Sitemtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43HUPM2
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/11.09.12.18
Last Update2020:11.09.12.18.09 (UTC) simone
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/11.09.12.18.09
Metadata Last Update2022:01.04.01.35.35 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1590/0001-3765202020181242
ISSN0001-3765
Citation KeyChouDGPARCRSF:2020:TeSeCl
TitleTen-year seasonal climate reforecasts over South America using the Eta Regional Climate Model
Year2020
Access Date2024, May 16
Type of Workjournal article
Secondary TypePRE PN
Number of Files1
Size15642 KiB
2. Context
Author 1 Chou, Sin Chan
 2 Dereczynski, Claudine
 3 Gomes, Jorge Luís
 4 Pesquero, José Fernando
 5 Avila, Ana Maria H. de
 6 Resende, Nicole Costa
 7 Carvalho, Luís Felipe Alves de
 8 Ruiz-Cárdenas, Ramiro
 9 Souza, Carlos Renato
10 Fonseca, Josiane Ferreira Bustamante
Resume Identifier 1
 2
 3
 4
 5
 6
 7
 8
 9
10 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHJT
ORCID 1 0000-0002-8973-1808
 2 0000-0002-9394-1832
 3 0000-0003-2235-171X
 4 0000-0002-4561-7624
 5 0000-0002-6801-8528
 6 0000-0002-3098-5993
 7 0000-0002-4470-6334
 8 0000-0002-2391-4134
 9 0000-0002-4022-9382
Group 1 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
 2
 3 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
 4 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
 5
 6 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
 7 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
 8
 9 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
10 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
Affiliation 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 2 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)
 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 5 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
 8
 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
10 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Author e-Mail Address 1 chou.chan@inpe.br
 2
 3 jorge.gomes@inpe.br
 4 jose.pesquero@inpe.br
 5
 6 nicole.resende@inpe.br
 7 luis.carvalho@inpe.br
 8
 9 carlos.souza@inpe.br
10 josiane.ferreira@inpe.br
JournalAnais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências
Volume92
Number3
Pagese20181242
Secondary MarkA1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_ENGENHARIAS_III A2_PLANEJAMENTO_URBANO_E_REGIONAL_/_DEMOGRAFIA A2_GEOGRAFIA A2_ENSINO A2_ENGENHARIAS_IV A2_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A2_BIODIVERSIDADE A2_ANTROPOLOGIA_/_ARQUEOLOGIA B1_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS B1_PSICOLOGIA B1_NUTRIÇÃO B1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA B1_GEOCIÊNCIAS B1_ENGENHARIAS_II B1_ENGENHARIAS_I B1_ENFERMAGEM B1_EDUCAÇÃO_FÍSICA B1_CIÊNCIAS_SOCIAIS_APLICADAS_I B1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B2_SAÚDE_COLETIVA B2_QUÍMICA B2_MEDICINA_III B2_MEDICINA_II B2_MEDICINA_I B2_MATERIAIS B2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA B2_FARMÁCIA B2_ECONOMIA B2_CIÊNCIA_DE_ALIMENTOS B2_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO B3_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II B3_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I B3_BIOTECNOLOGIA B3_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B4_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III
History (UTC)2020-11-09 12:18:09 :: simone -> administrator ::
2020-11-09 12:18:10 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020
2020-11-09 12:25:03 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020
2022-01-04 01:35:35 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
Version Typepublisher
Keywords: Seasonal forecasts
Regional Climate Model
Eta model
South America
forecast skill
added value
AbstractTen-year seasonal climate reforecasts over South America are obtained using the Eta Regional Climate Model at 40 km resolution, driven by the large-scale forcing from the global atmospheric model of the Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Studies. The objective of this work is to evaluate these regional reforecasts. The dataset is comprised of four-month seasonal forecasts performed on a monthly basis between 2001 and 2010. An ensemble of fi ve members is constructed from fi ve slightly different initial conditions to partially reduce the uncertainty in the seasonal forecasts. The seasonal mean precipitation and 2-meter temperature forecasts are compared with the observations. The comparison shows that, in general, forecasted precipitation is underestimated in the central part of the continent in the austral summer, whereas the forecasted 2 meter temperature is underestimated in most parts of the continent and throughout the year. Skill scores show higher skill in the northern part of the continent and lower skill in the southern part of the continent, but mixed skill signs are seen in the central part of the continent. During the El Niño and La Niña seasons, the forecast skill scores clearly increase. The downscaling of the Eta model seasonal forecasts provides added value over the driver global model forecasts, especially during rainy periods.
AreaMET
Arrangement 1urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > Ten-year seasonal climate...
Arrangement 2urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Ten-year seasonal climate...
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4. Conditions of access and use
data URLhttp://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43HUPM2
zipped data URLhttp://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43HUPM2
Languageen
Target Filechou_ten.pdf
User Groupsimone
Reader Groupadministrator
simone
Visibilityshown
Archiving Policyallowpublisher allowfinaldraft
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL
8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35
Citing Item Listsid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.06.18.03 2
sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 2
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.52.46 1
DisseminationWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCIELO.
Host Collectionurlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04
6. Notes
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