1. Identity statement | |
Reference Type | Journal Article |
Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br |
Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43HUPM2 |
Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/11.09.12.18 |
Last Update | 2020:11.09.12.18.09 (UTC) simone |
Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/11.09.12.18.09 |
Metadata Last Update | 2022:01.04.01.35.35 (UTC) administrator |
DOI | 10.1590/0001-3765202020181242 |
ISSN | 0001-3765 |
Citation Key | ChouDGPARCRSF:2020:TeSeCl |
Title | Ten-year seasonal climate reforecasts over South America using the Eta Regional Climate Model |
Year | 2020 |
Access Date | 2024, May 16 |
Type of Work | journal article |
Secondary Type | PRE PN |
Number of Files | 1 |
Size | 15642 KiB |
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2. Context | |
Author | 1 Chou, Sin Chan 2 Dereczynski, Claudine 3 Gomes, Jorge Luís 4 Pesquero, José Fernando 5 Avila, Ana Maria H. de 6 Resende, Nicole Costa 7 Carvalho, Luís Felipe Alves de 8 Ruiz-Cárdenas, Ramiro 9 Souza, Carlos Renato 10 Fonseca, Josiane Ferreira Bustamante |
Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHJT |
ORCID | 1 0000-0002-8973-1808 2 0000-0002-9394-1832 3 0000-0003-2235-171X 4 0000-0002-4561-7624 5 0000-0002-6801-8528 6 0000-0002-3098-5993 7 0000-0002-4470-6334 8 0000-0002-2391-4134 9 0000-0002-4022-9382 |
Group | 1 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 2 3 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 4 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 5 6 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 7 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 8 9 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 10 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR |
Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 8 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 10 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) |
Author e-Mail Address | 1 chou.chan@inpe.br 2 3 jorge.gomes@inpe.br 4 jose.pesquero@inpe.br 5 6 nicole.resende@inpe.br 7 luis.carvalho@inpe.br 8 9 carlos.souza@inpe.br 10 josiane.ferreira@inpe.br |
Journal | Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciências |
Volume | 92 |
Number | 3 |
Pages | e20181242 |
Secondary Mark | A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_ENGENHARIAS_III A2_PLANEJAMENTO_URBANO_E_REGIONAL_/_DEMOGRAFIA A2_GEOGRAFIA A2_ENSINO A2_ENGENHARIAS_IV A2_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A2_BIODIVERSIDADE A2_ANTROPOLOGIA_/_ARQUEOLOGIA B1_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS B1_PSICOLOGIA B1_NUTRIÇÃO B1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA B1_GEOCIÊNCIAS B1_ENGENHARIAS_II B1_ENGENHARIAS_I B1_ENFERMAGEM B1_EDUCAÇÃO_FÍSICA B1_CIÊNCIAS_SOCIAIS_APLICADAS_I B1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B2_SAÚDE_COLETIVA B2_QUÍMICA B2_MEDICINA_III B2_MEDICINA_II B2_MEDICINA_I B2_MATERIAIS B2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA B2_FARMÁCIA B2_ECONOMIA B2_CIÊNCIA_DE_ALIMENTOS B2_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO B3_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II B3_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I B3_BIOTECNOLOGIA B3_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B4_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III |
History (UTC) | 2020-11-09 12:18:09 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020-11-09 12:18:10 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 2020-11-09 12:25:03 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020 2022-01-04 01:35:35 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 |
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3. Content and structure | |
Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
Content Stage | completed |
Transferable | 1 |
Content Type | External Contribution |
Version Type | publisher |
Keywords | : Seasonal forecasts Regional Climate Model Eta model South America forecast skill added value |
Abstract | Ten-year seasonal climate reforecasts over South America are obtained using the Eta Regional Climate Model at 40 km resolution, driven by the large-scale forcing from the global atmospheric model of the Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Studies. The objective of this work is to evaluate these regional reforecasts. The dataset is comprised of four-month seasonal forecasts performed on a monthly basis between 2001 and 2010. An ensemble of fi ve members is constructed from fi ve slightly different initial conditions to partially reduce the uncertainty in the seasonal forecasts. The seasonal mean precipitation and 2-meter temperature forecasts are compared with the observations. The comparison shows that, in general, forecasted precipitation is underestimated in the central part of the continent in the austral summer, whereas the forecasted 2 meter temperature is underestimated in most parts of the continent and throughout the year. Skill scores show higher skill in the northern part of the continent and lower skill in the southern part of the continent, but mixed skill signs are seen in the central part of the continent. During the El Niño and La Niña seasons, the forecast skill scores clearly increase. The downscaling of the Eta model seasonal forecasts provides added value over the driver global model forecasts, especially during rainy periods. |
Area | MET |
Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > Ten-year seasonal climate... |
Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Ten-year seasonal climate... |
doc Directory Content | access |
source Directory Content | there are no files |
agreement Directory Content | |
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4. Conditions of access and use | |
data URL | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43HUPM2 |
zipped data URL | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/43HUPM2 |
Language | en |
Target File | chou_ten.pdf |
User Group | simone |
Reader Group | administrator simone |
Visibility | shown |
Archiving Policy | allowpublisher allowfinaldraft |
Update Permission | not transferred |
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5. Allied materials | |
Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 |
Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.06.18.03 2 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.52.46 1 |
Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCIELO. |
Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 |
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6. Notes | |
Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository month nextedition notes parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readpermission rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url |
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7. Description control | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
update | |
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